Premiership · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 14:15
18.2311.5%
X5.5117.1%
21.3271.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hearts
DWWWWLWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Celtic
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
2.90
0.90
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
6.60N=10
5.50
Against
2.50
11.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
3.40
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hearts attack
2.50goals per matchCeltic conceded0.60Matchup
Celtic attack
2.90goals per matchHearts conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
2.50
11.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.70
Match total
2.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.10
Match total
20.10
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
18.30N=10
5.50
On target
6.10
17%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%6.5%-4.9 pp
Draw17.1%19.6%+2.5 pp
Away71.4%73.9%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.554.3%
BTTS63.0%
Historical average
0.98–2.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-110.9%
0-410.9%
1-18.7%
1-28.7%
1-38.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–6.48
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away80.0%