Premiership · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 14:15
18.2311.5%
X5.5117.1%
21.3271.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hearts
DWWWWLWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Celtic
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
2.90
0.90
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.60N=10
5.50
Against
2.50
11.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
3.40
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Hearts attack

2.50goals per match
Celtic conceded0.60
Matchup

Celtic attack

2.90goals per match
Hearts conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
2.50
11.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.70
Match total
2.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.10
Match total
20.10

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
18.30N=10
5.50
On target
6.10
17%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%6.5%-4.9 pp
Draw17.1%19.6%+2.5 pp
Away71.4%73.9%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.554.3%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

0.982.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.9%
0-410.9%
1-18.7%
1-28.7%
1-38.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.706.48
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away80.0%