Premiership · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 12:30
12.2741.6%
X3.4527.4%
23.0431.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hibernian
LWLWLDWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Hearts
WLDWDDLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.60
Against
4.80
10.70
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hibernian attack
2.00goals per matchHearts conceded1.70Matchup
Hearts attack
1.00goals per matchHibernian conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.80
10.70
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
23.20
Match total
21.70
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches406
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%39.9%-1.7 pp
Draw27.4%30.8%+3.4 pp
Away31.1%29.3%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
1.50–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
2-19.1%
2-28.9%
2-08.4%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.67–4.49
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.5%27.1%–44.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%31.3%–49.3% CI
Away FT24.5%17.5%–33.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals19.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away41.8%