Premiership · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 15:00
12.1244.6%
X3.4627.3%
23.3628.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hearts
LWDWWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
St Mirren
LLDDLLWLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.90
Against
4.70
11.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.70
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hearts attack

2.50goals per match
St Mirren conceded1.70
Matchup

St Mirren attack

0.90goals per match
Hearts conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.70
11.60
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.50
On target
3.60
20%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches462
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%45.5%+0.9 pp
Draw27.3%29.0%+1.7 pp
Away28.1%25.5%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.561.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.0%
2-18.7%
2-08.0%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.30
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=462.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%27.7%–43.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%27.7%–43.8% CI
Away FT29.3%22.3%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away50.4%