Premiership · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:00
13.0131.3%
X3.1729.7%
22.4239.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Johnstone
DLWWDLLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Aberdeen
LWLLLLLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
3.20
50%
Over 2.5
100%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
2.10
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.30
Against
6.60
10.10
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
3.20
2.80
Total goals
4.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Johnstone attack
1.10goals per matchAberdeen conceded3.20Matchup
Aberdeen attack
0.90goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.60
10.10
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.80
Match total
22.80
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.60
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches351
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%29.6%-1.7 pp
Draw29.7%27.4%-2.4 pp
Away39.0%43.0%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.07–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
0-112.3%
1-010.3%
0-09.1%
1-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.73–4.91
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=351.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.7%22.0%–38.8% CI
Draw FT38.7%30.2%–48.0% CI
Away FT31.5%23.6%–40.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.8%
Away44.1%