Premiership · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
12.7334.6%
X3.2429.2%
22.6136.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dundee United
WWLWDWLLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
St Mirren
LLLDDLLWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.20
Against
5.40
10.70
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dundee United attack
1.60goals per matchSt Mirren conceded2.00Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.80goals per matchDundee United conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.40
10.70
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
19.70
Match total
21.00
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches641
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%29.8%-4.8 pp
Draw29.2%33.7%+4.5 pp
Away36.2%36.5%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.15–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
0-111.4%
0-09.8%
2-18.7%
1-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–4.91
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=641.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.1%18.8%–30.2% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.2%–52.5% CI
Away FT30.2%24.4%–36.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away51.9%