Premiership · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.7454.2%
X3.7225.4%
24.6320.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hearts
LLWDWWWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
St Johnstone
LLWDWLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.90
Against
5.90
11.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hearts attack

2.20goals per match
St Johnstone conceded1.60
Matchup

St Johnstone attack

1.20goals per match
Hearts conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.90
11.30
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.30
Match total
24.00

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.2%56.1%+1.8 pp
Draw25.4%27.4%+2.0 pp
Away20.4%16.5%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.730.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.1%
1-111.9%
2-111.1%
2-09.8%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.07
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.3%33.1%–50.0% CI
Draw FT43.7%35.3%–52.4% CI
Away FT15.1%9.9%–22.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away36.5%