Premiership · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
13.1829.5%
X3.2628.8%
22.2541.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
WLLLDLDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Livingston
LDWWWWDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.00
Against
3.90
10.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

0.90goals per match
Livingston conceded0.90
Matchup

Livingston attack

1.30goals per match
Motherwell conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
3.90
10.50
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.90
Match total
2.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.00
Match total
22.90

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.10
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%25.9%-3.6 pp
Draw28.8%25.9%-2.9 pp
Away41.7%48.2%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.951.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.0%
1-011.8%
1-110.6%
0-010.6%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.99
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI

Remaining goals

0.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.9%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.7%
Away47.8%