Premiership · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 18:00
14.4920.9%
X3.7025.4%
21.7553.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamilton
LDWLLLWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
St Johnstone
DDLLDDWLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamilton attack
1.00goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded1.50Matchup
St Johnstone attack
1.70goals per matchHamilton conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.50
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.60
Match total
25.60
Shots
7.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.10
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.9%15.8%-5.1 pp
Draw25.4%26.3%+0.9 pp
Away53.7%57.9%+4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS42.1%
Historical average
0.79–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-221.1%
1-121.1%
0-115.8%
4-15.3%
0-35.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.63–5.58
Average total9.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.536.8%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals23.5%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.2%
Away41.2%