Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 19:45
15.0818.8%
X4.6520.6%
21.5860.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WLWDDWWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Roma
LLDWLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
7.30N=10
3.30
Against
3.70
6.60
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.80goals per match
Roma conceded2.10
Matchup

Roma attack

0.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.70
6.60
Match total
11.00
20%2/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
31.50
Match total
27.10

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.60
On target
5.60
18%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%18.2%-0.7 pp
Draw20.6%9.1%-11.5 pp
Away60.6%72.7%+12.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.5100.0%
Over 3.572.7%
BTTS81.8%

Historical average

1.452.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-318.2%
0-318.2%
2-318.2%
3-29.1%
2-49.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.825.91
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away61.5%