Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 19:45
12.4539.0%
X4.0723.5%
22.5537.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
DLDWWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Milan
WWLWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
2.40
1.20
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.50
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.30
Against
5.70
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.90
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

2.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.70
8.30
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.20
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
28.10
Match total
24.80

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
6.80
On target
7.50
17%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%38.1%-0.9 pp
Draw23.5%23.8%+0.3 pp
Away37.5%38.1%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.761.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-219.0%
1-29.5%
2-09.5%
4-19.5%
3-39.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.525.33
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away57.1%