Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-22 · 19:45
13.6526.2%
X4.0323.7%
21.9150.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
WLLLWLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Fiorentina
LDLLWDLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
8.00
Against
4.30
13.00
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.30
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.40goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.90
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Crotone conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
8.00
Corners against
4.30
13.00
Match total
8.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
29.70
Match total
29.40

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%23.8%-2.4 pp
Draw23.7%23.8%+0.1 pp
Away50.1%52.4%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.241.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.0%
2-114.3%
2-214.3%
2-39.5%
1-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.62
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away71.4%