Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-22 · 19:45
12.0945.7%
X3.5127.2%
23.5427.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LDLLWLLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Genoa
DWDLLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.60
Against
6.40
11.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Genoa conceded1.40
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.40
11.10
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
29.40
Match total
26.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.40
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%33.3%-12.4 pp
Draw27.2%25.0%-2.2 pp
Away27.0%41.7%+14.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.461.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
2-312.5%
0-38.3%
2-18.3%
3-24.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.38
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away27.3%