Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 19:45
11.4267.3%
X4.7919.9%
27.4612.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WLWLDLDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Cagliari
LLLWDLLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.30
11.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.00
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Milan conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.30
11.20
Match total
9.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.00
Match total
27.00

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.80
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.3%67.4%+0.2 pp
Draw19.9%22.1%+2.2 pp
Away12.8%10.5%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.544.2%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

2.510.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-111.6%
1-110.5%
3-010.5%
2-19.3%
2-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.763.83
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals42.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away35.7%