Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:00
15.5217.3%
X4.4321.5%
21.5661.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LLLDLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Sassuolo
LLDWLLLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
2.50
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.10
7.80
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
2.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.30goals per match
Parma conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.10
7.80
Match total
11.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.60
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.10
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%6.3%-11.0 pp
Draw21.5%15.6%-5.9 pp
Away61.2%78.1%+17.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS40.6%

Historical average

0.632.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.8%
0-218.8%
0-39.4%
1-29.4%
1-39.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.665.34
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away72.7%