Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:00
15.5217.3%
X4.4321.5%
21.5661.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
LLLDLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Sassuolo
LLDWLLLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
2.50
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.10
7.80
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
2.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
1.20goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.60Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.30goals per matchParma conceded2.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.10
7.80
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.60
Match total
25.60
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.10
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%6.3%-11.0 pp
Draw21.5%15.6%-5.9 pp
Away61.2%78.1%+17.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS40.6%
Historical average
0.63–2.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.8%
0-218.8%
0-39.4%
1-29.4%
1-39.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.66–5.34
Average total9.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.521.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.3%
Away72.7%