Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 14:00
11.5063.7%
X4.6720.5%
26.0315.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
LDDDLLDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Crotone
LLLLLLLLWL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
2.40
Conceded
3.40
70%
Over 2.5
100%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.10
2.00
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.20
Against
5.70
10.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
2.40
Goals conceded
3.40
3.40
Total goals
4.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.00goals per match
Crotone conceded3.40
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.40goals per match
Benevento conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
2.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.70
10.30
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
33.50
Match total
25.00

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.7%70.0%+6.3 pp
Draw20.5%15.0%-5.5 pp
Away15.8%15.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

2.481.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.5%
3-112.5%
2-210.0%
2-110.0%
4-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.60
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away42.9%