Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 11:30
15.7216.7%
X4.6820.4%
21.5262.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWLWLDLLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Napoli
LLLDWWLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.70goals per match
Napoli conceded1.50
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
9.60
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.70
Match total
27.50

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
4.30
On target
6.80
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.7%8.3%-8.4 pp
Draw20.4%4.2%-16.3 pp
Away62.9%87.5%+24.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

0.752.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.7%
1-216.7%
0-68.3%
0-18.3%
1-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.385.88
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.8%
Away56.5%