Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 19:45
13.0731.2%
X3.5726.8%
22.2842.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
DWWWLWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lazio
DWWLLLWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
4.10
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Lazio conceded1.70
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.20goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.10
9.70
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.00
Match total
24.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
7.20
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.2%18.2%-13.0 pp
Draw26.8%50.0%+23.2 pp
Away42.0%31.8%-10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS81.8%

Historical average

1.361.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-131.8%
2-213.6%
2-313.6%
1-29.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.59
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away63.6%