Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 14:00
13.2429.4%
X3.0031.8%
22.4638.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LWLWDDWWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Torino
WLDDWLLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.20
Against
6.00
6.50
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.40goals per match
Torino conceded1.40
Matchup

Torino attack

1.40goals per match
Spezia conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.00
6.50
Match total
10.70
10%1/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
18.50N=10
30.50
Match total
38.50

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
5.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%38.2%+8.8 pp
Draw31.8%23.5%-8.3 pp
Away38.8%38.2%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.181.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-111.8%
2-011.8%
1-011.8%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.32
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away54.5%