Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 14:00
112.357.7%
X6.5914.5%
21.2377.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
WWWDDDDDWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Atalanta
DWWWLWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.20
Against
3.80
6.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.50goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.80
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.90goals per match
Genoa conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.80
6.60
Match total
9.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.80
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
26.40
Match total
30.50

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.20
On target
8.50
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.7%9.1%+1.3 pp
Draw14.5%0.0%-14.5 pp
Away77.7%90.9%+13.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

0.453.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-227.3%
0-418.2%
1-49.1%
0-19.1%
0-139.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.006.45
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.527.3%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away69.2%