Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 19:45
13.7725.4%
X3.9024.5%
21.9150.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LWLLLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Verona
DLLLDWLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
7.50
Against
5.70
12.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.30goals per match
Verona conceded1.60
Matchup

Verona attack

1.20goals per match
Crotone conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
7.50
Corners against
5.70
12.80
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
29.70
Match total
27.90

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.70
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.4%23.8%-1.6 pp
Draw24.5%20.2%-4.3 pp
Away50.1%56.0%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.081.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
1-19.5%
0-08.3%
0-37.1%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.265.31
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Draw FT45.8%27.9%–64.9% CI
Away FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away54.2%