Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 19:45
13.8824.7%
X3.9624.2%
21.8751.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
DDDDLWDWLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Milan
WWWLWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.70
10.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.20goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Torino conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.70
10.60
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
28.30
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.30
On target
6.90
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%30.5%+5.8 pp
Draw24.2%15.3%-8.9 pp
Away51.2%54.2%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS64.4%

Historical average

1.191.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-225.4%
0-08.5%
1-08.5%
1-16.8%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.375.83
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away50.0%