Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 19:45
12.5637.3%
X3.5826.7%
22.6536.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
WWLWLDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Spezia
DLWLLLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.90
Against
3.40
12.50
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Spezia conceded2.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.90
Corners against
3.40
12.50
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.20
Match total
30.80

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.10
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%37.9%+0.6 pp
Draw26.7%24.1%-2.5 pp
Away36.0%37.9%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.461.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-19.5%
1-19.5%
2-18.6%
2-27.8%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.755.03
Average total10.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI
Draw FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Away FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals51.6%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away54.8%