Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 19:45
11.2178.8%
X6.9213.8%
212.917.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Parma
LDLLDDDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.70
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.60goals per match
Parma conceded2.30
Matchup

Parma attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
10.00
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
27.60
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
7.70
On target
3.70
18%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.8%74.1%-4.8 pp
Draw13.8%14.8%+1.0 pp
Away7.4%11.1%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

2.560.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.8%
2-111.1%
3-011.1%
4-011.1%
4-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.302.70
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away53.3%