Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 19:45
12.3940.0%
X3.3528.5%
23.0431.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
DWLDWWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Genoa
LDWDLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
6.00
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.80goals per matchGenoa conceded1.60Matchup
Genoa attack
1.10goals per matchBologna conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.00
9.80
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
28.70
Match total
27.10
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%35.3%-4.7 pp
Draw28.5%31.0%+2.5 pp
Away31.5%33.6%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.23–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.2%
2-112.1%
1-211.2%
1-08.6%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.81
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Draw FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Away FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away58.3%