Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 19:45
12.3940.0%
X3.3528.5%
23.0431.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
DWLDWWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Genoa
LDWDLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
6.00
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.80goals per match
Genoa conceded1.60
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.00
9.80
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
28.70
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%35.3%-4.7 pp
Draw28.5%31.0%+2.5 pp
Away31.5%33.6%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.231.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
2-112.1%
1-211.2%
1-08.6%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.81
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Draw FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Away FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away58.3%