Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 19:45
11.1881.2%
X7.7812.3%
214.916.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WDLDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Benevento
WLLDLDWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
2.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.10
Against
6.00
8.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
4.00
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.80goals per match
Benevento conceded2.20
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.10goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.00
8.60
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.70
Match total
4.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.70
Match total
27.20

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
7.00
On target
3.60
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.2%64.3%-17.0 pp
Draw12.3%28.6%+16.2 pp
Away6.4%7.1%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

2.140.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-021.4%
2-214.3%
2-114.3%
5-17.1%
3-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.073.29
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away53.8%