Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 19:45
11.7654.3%
X3.8824.6%
24.5221.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Milan
WWWWLWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.40goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.80goals per match
Juventus conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.20
Match total
23.70

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
8.20
On target
6.80
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%60.2%+5.9 pp
Draw24.6%24.3%-0.3 pp
Away21.1%15.5%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS63.1%

Historical average

1.981.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.6%
1-111.7%
2-09.7%
3-19.7%
2-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.953.88
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI
Draw FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Away FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away50.0%