Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 17:00
11.3968.7%
X5.2918.0%
27.1913.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WDWWWLWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Crotone
LLLLLLLLLW
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
3.50
50%
Over 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.50
1.40
2H goals
2.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
3.50
2.80
Total goals
5.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.70goals per match
Crotone conceded3.50
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.00
Match total
24.50

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
6.70
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%80.0%+11.3 pp
Draw18.0%13.3%-4.7 pp
Away13.3%6.7%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.586.7%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS73.3%

Historical average

2.531.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-126.7%
3-013.3%
3-16.7%
3-36.7%
4-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.473.00
Average total8.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away33.3%