Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 14:00
113.107.3%
X7.2813.1%
21.2079.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LLLLDLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Atalanta
WDWWWLWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
2.30
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.20
Against
3.80
8.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
2.30
Goals conceded
0.70
3.30
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.70
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.80goals per match
Parma conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.80
8.60
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
27.50
Match total
31.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
5.50
On target
8.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.3%7.7%+0.4 pp
Draw13.1%7.7%-5.4 pp
Away79.6%84.6%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.576.9%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

0.773.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-123.1%
1-423.1%
1-315.4%
3-27.7%
0-57.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.928.69
Average total12.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.592.3%
Over 9.592.3%
Over 10.576.9%
Over 11.561.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away81.8%