Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 11:30
13.3828.3%
X3.4827.5%
22.1644.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DWWWDDDDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Sassuolo
LLLDWLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.10
6.90
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.50goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.00
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.20goals per match
Genoa conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.10
6.90
Match total
11.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.10
Match total
24.60

Shots

8.50N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.90
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%24.7%-3.5 pp
Draw27.5%31.2%+3.7 pp
Away44.3%44.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.351.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-29.7%
0-07.5%
2-36.5%
1-36.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.33
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away61.9%