Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 19:45
14.0123.9%
X3.8724.7%
21.8651.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DWWLWLDLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lazio
LDWWLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded1.80
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.40goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.00
Match total
23.70

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
3.90
On target
6.10
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.9%24.6%+0.8 pp
Draw24.7%18.5%-6.3 pp
Away51.4%56.9%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS66.2%

Historical average

1.151.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.5%
1-110.8%
1-09.2%
2-37.7%
0-16.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.69
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away68.4%