Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 14:00
16.0615.8%
X4.5920.8%
21.5163.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LLWLWDDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Napoli
WLLLDWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.20
Against
4.70
6.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.40goals per match
Napoli conceded1.50
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Spezia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.70
6.80
Match total
10.10
10%1/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
30.90
Match total
26.70

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.80
On target
6.70
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.8%13.0%-2.7 pp
Draw20.8%13.0%-7.8 pp
Away63.4%73.9%+10.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.539.1%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

0.912.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.0%
0-213.0%
1-213.0%
2-08.7%
1-38.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.436.48
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away61.5%