Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 19:45
12.8333.8%
X3.6326.3%
22.4039.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LWWLWLDWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Roma
LWLLDWLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.70
Against
2.90
12.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Roma conceded2.10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
2.90
12.90
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
25.70
Match total
28.80

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.80
On target
5.40
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%50.0%+16.2 pp
Draw26.3%23.1%-3.3 pp
Away39.9%26.9%-12.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.691.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.4%
1-111.5%
1-311.5%
2-111.5%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.965.54
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away50.0%