Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 14:00
11.4068.2%
X4.9019.5%
27.7412.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
DLWWWWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Cagliari
DLLLLWDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.30
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
2.60goals per matchCagliari conceded1.10Matchup
Cagliari attack
0.80goals per matchNapoli conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.80
Match total
27.00
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
7.10
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.2%69.4%+1.2 pp
Draw19.5%22.6%+3.1 pp
Away12.3%8.1%-4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.540.3%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
2.58–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.5%
3-011.3%
3-19.7%
2-09.7%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.81–3.76
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away18.2%