Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 14:00
11.4068.2%
X4.9019.5%
27.7412.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
DLWWWWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Cagliari
DLLLLWDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.30
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.60goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.80
Match total
27.00

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
7.10
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.2%69.4%+1.2 pp
Draw19.5%22.6%+3.1 pp
Away12.3%8.1%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.540.3%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

2.580.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.5%
3-011.3%
3-19.7%
2-09.7%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.813.76
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away18.2%