Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 14:00
12.9432.5%
X3.2829.1%
22.4938.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
DDWLDWWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Fiorentina
WLLDLLWDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.40
9.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.80
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Bologna conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.40
9.60
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.40
Match total
28.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.30
On target
5.00
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%20.9%-11.6 pp
Draw29.1%37.2%+8.1 pp
Away38.4%41.9%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.071.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.3%
1-114.0%
0-111.6%
1-29.3%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.075.49
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.7%
Over 9.567.4%
Over 10.553.5%
Over 11.541.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal53.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away46.7%