Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 19:45
11.3570.7%
X5.1918.4%
28.7410.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LWLWLDLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Benevento
WWLLDLDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
11.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Benevento conceded2.00
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
11.00
Match total
9.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
6.40
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%69.7%-1.0 pp
Draw18.4%15.2%-3.2 pp
Away10.9%15.2%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

2.200.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.2%
2-015.2%
2-110.6%
1-07.6%
1-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.263.86
Average total11.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.5%52.7%–90.4% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals64.7%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away29.4%