Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 17:00
111.848.1%
X6.7014.3%
21.2377.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
WLWLLLWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Inter
LDDWWWWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.00N=10
7.00
Against
3.40
12.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.50goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Matchup

Inter attack

1.50goals per match
Crotone conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
7.00
Corners against
3.40
12.20
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.20
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
31.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.20
On target
6.40
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.1%5.3%-2.8 pp
Draw14.3%10.5%-3.7 pp
Away77.7%84.2%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.557.9%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

0.743.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-326.3%
0-215.8%
1-210.5%
0-410.5%
0-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

2.797.11
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away72.7%