Serie A · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 14:00
12.0945.6%
X3.5426.9%
23.4827.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LLWWWDLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Spezia
WDLWLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
3.90
9.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Spezia conceded2.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Verona conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.90
9.30
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
32.00
Match total
29.00

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.30
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%47.5%+1.9 pp
Draw26.9%33.3%+6.4 pp
Away27.4%19.1%-8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.541.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.9%
1-015.6%
2-09.2%
2-27.1%
0-15.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.67
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.2%29.7%–57.8% CI
Draw FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT18.2%9.5%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.1%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.5%
Away50.0%