Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-26 · 19:45
12.2043.3%
X3.7725.3%
23.0431.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
LWWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Milan
DWWWWLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
6.80
10.00
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.20goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

2.00goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.80
10.00
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.80
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
27.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
6.60
On target
6.60
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%47.5%+4.2 pp
Draw25.3%18.0%-7.3 pp
Away31.4%34.4%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.621.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.5%
2-09.8%
0-28.2%
2-36.6%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.844.34
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.7%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away36.8%