Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-26 · 17:30
14.4021.7%
X3.9624.1%
21.7654.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Torino
LDDDDDLWDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Napoli
WWLLLDWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
9.60
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Torino attack
1.40goals per matchNapoli conceded1.60Matchup
Napoli attack
1.90goals per matchTorino conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
9.60
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
28.40
Match total
25.30
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
6.20
On target
6.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%23.2%+1.5 pp
Draw24.1%23.2%-0.9 pp
Away54.2%53.6%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS68.1%
Historical average
1.12–1.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-214.5%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%
1-37.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.36–5.70
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.0%
Away60.0%