Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 17:00
12.5138.0%
X3.7025.8%
22.6336.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LLLDLLWLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Roma
WLWLLDWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.90
Against
2.60
11.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.90goals per match
Roma conceded1.90
Matchup

Roma attack

1.40goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
2.60
11.70
Match total
8.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
28.20
Match total
28.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.30
On target
5.50
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%41.4%+3.4 pp
Draw25.8%19.0%-6.8 pp
Away36.3%39.7%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.521.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.5%
2-110.3%
1-010.3%
2-08.6%
1-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.45
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.539.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away45.5%