Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 17:00
11.7554.6%
X3.9024.5%
24.5620.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LLLLLDLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Crotone
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
2.30
Conceded
3.50
70%
Over 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.40
1.70
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.60
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
2.30
Goals conceded
3.50
3.00
Total goals
4.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.70goals per match
Crotone conceded3.50
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.30goals per match
Parma conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.60
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%62.2%+7.7 pp
Draw24.5%16.7%-7.8 pp
Away20.9%21.1%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.941.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.9%
2-012.2%
1-18.9%
1-26.7%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.92
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away52.6%