Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 14:00
12.4838.5%
X3.0031.8%
23.2229.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DDWWWDDDDD
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM
Spezia
LWDLWLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
2.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.20
8.00
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.50goals per match
Spezia conceded2.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.20
8.00
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.90
Match total
27.70

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.40
19%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%41.9%+3.4 pp
Draw31.8%35.5%+3.7 pp
Away29.7%22.6%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.401.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
1-014.5%
2-19.7%
2-29.7%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.66
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.519.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Draw FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.0%
Away56.0%