Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 14:00
12.4838.5%
X3.0031.8%
23.2229.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
DDWWWDDDDD
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM
Spezia
LWDLWLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
2.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.20
8.00
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.50goals per matchSpezia conceded2.30Matchup
Spezia attack
1.10goals per matchGenoa conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.20
8.00
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.90
Match total
27.70
Shots
8.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.40
19%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%41.9%+3.4 pp
Draw31.8%35.5%+3.7 pp
Away29.7%22.6%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
1.40–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.4%
1-014.5%
2-19.7%
2-29.7%
3-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–4.66
Average total9.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.519.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Draw FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.88
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals28.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.0%
Away56.0%