Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 19:45
12.0247.3%
X3.6626.1%
23.6026.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WDLWWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lazio
DLDWWLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.30goals per match
Lazio conceded1.40
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
9.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
7.10
On target
6.00
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%46.7%-0.6 pp
Draw26.1%24.6%-1.5 pp
Away26.6%28.7%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.641.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.8%
1-19.8%
2-18.2%
0-17.4%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.53
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Draw FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Away FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.9%