Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 17:30
13.6026.5%
X3.8824.6%
21.9548.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWDWWWLWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Atalanta
DDWDWWWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.80N=10
3.60
Against
3.30
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.80
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.90goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.30
8.90
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.20
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
28.20
Match total
31.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
7.30
On target
8.10
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.5%14.9%-11.6 pp
Draw24.6%31.9%+7.3 pp
Away48.9%53.2%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS72.3%

Historical average

1.151.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
2-310.6%
1-210.6%
2-210.6%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.664.96
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%