Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:45
17.7912.3%
X5.0019.1%
21.3968.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLLWLWDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Inter
WLDDWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.80
Against
3.60
6.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.50goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Matchup

Inter attack

1.60goals per match
Spezia conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.60
6.70
Match total
9.60
10%1/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.90
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
32.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.20
On target
6.30
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%14.8%+2.6 pp
Draw19.1%18.5%-0.6 pp
Away68.7%66.7%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS37.0%

Historical average

0.632.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-318.5%
0-114.8%
1-114.8%
0-211.1%
0-411.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.196.30
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away90.0%