Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:45
17.7912.3%
X5.0019.1%
21.3968.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
DLLWLWDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Inter
WLDDWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.80
Against
3.60
6.70
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.50goals per matchInter conceded0.80Matchup
Inter attack
1.60goals per matchSpezia conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.60
6.70
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.90
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.80N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
32.30
Match total
25.80
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.20
On target
6.30
15%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%14.8%+2.6 pp
Draw19.1%18.5%-0.6 pp
Away68.7%66.7%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS37.0%
Historical average
0.63–2.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-318.5%
0-114.8%
1-114.8%
0-211.1%
0-411.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.19–6.30
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away90.0%