Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:45
11.2675.8%
X6.0915.7%
211.298.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWWWWWLWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Parma
DLLDLLDDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
5.80
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
3.10
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.50goals per matchParma conceded2.30Matchup
Parma attack
1.50goals per matchJuventus conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.80
10.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
24.40
Match total
30.80
Shots
17.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
8.40
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%73.3%-2.5 pp
Draw15.7%17.8%+2.1 pp
Away8.5%8.9%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
2.44–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.8%
2-013.3%
4-013.3%
2-211.1%
1-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–2.78
Average total9.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.1%
Over 9.542.2%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.524.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
3.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals90.0%
3+ goals60.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away50.0%