Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:45
13.6626.1%
X3.7025.8%
21.9948.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
WWLWLLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Sampdoria
LWLLWDLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.80
Against
4.50
11.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.90
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.30
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.00goals per match
Crotone conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.50
11.90
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.60
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
32.60
Match total
30.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.50
On target
4.20
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.1%23.1%-3.0 pp
Draw25.8%21.5%-4.3 pp
Away48.0%55.4%+7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

1.171.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
1-112.3%
0-19.2%
1-37.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.494.89
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away70.6%