Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 17:30
11.5661.2%
X4.3222.1%
25.7116.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WLWLWLDLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sassuolo
WLLLDWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
6.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
11.00
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
11.00
Match total
12.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.70
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.20
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.2%62.8%+1.6 pp
Draw22.1%9.3%-12.8 pp
Away16.7%27.9%+11.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

2.281.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.0%
4-09.3%
0-19.3%
3-19.3%
2-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.91
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away30.8%