Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 19:45
12.6036.8%
X3.2129.8%
22.8633.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
DLLWWWDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Fiorentina
LWLLDLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
9.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded2.00
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
9.70
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
30.90
Match total
28.10

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%31.4%-5.3 pp
Draw29.8%34.1%+4.3 pp
Away33.4%34.5%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.261.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
0-110.6%
2-28.3%
1-08.0%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.48
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.7%20.3%–39.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%29.5%–49.6% CI
Away FT32.2%23.3%–42.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away57.5%