Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 19:45
13.0531.3%
X3.4827.4%
22.3141.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWDLWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Inter
WWLDDWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.40
Against
3.60
10.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.60goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Matchup

Inter attack

1.80goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.60
10.50
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.20
Match total
26.10

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
7.70
On target
6.90
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches168
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%26.8%-4.5 pp
Draw27.4%33.9%+6.5 pp
Away41.3%39.3%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.071.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.5%
1-010.7%
0-09.5%
0-29.5%
1-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.685.13
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=168.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%19.9%–44.3% CI
Draw FT44.2%31.6%–57.7% CI
Away FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away46.2%